Current awareness for application of models in resource management. Scientific abstracts on systems dynamics and agent-based models. Support for a senior undergraduate course at the University of Alberta. Emphasis on elephants and ivory -- the basis of a group term project.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Estimating Economic Carrying Capacity for an Ungulate Guild in Western Canada
BSP :Estimating Economic Carrying Capacity for an Ungulate Guild in Western Canada:Using linear programming, we explored optimal allocation of forage resources for bison (Bison bison bison), moose (Alces andersoni), wapiti (Cervus elaphus manitobensis) and deer (Odocoileus virginianus and O. hemionus) to maximize ungulate biomass and numbers, when constrained by use of the major forage classes and minimum viable populations (MVP) of those ungulate species that do not cross the boundary fence (bison and wapiti). Maximum numbers of animals were achieved by a stocking combination dominated by deer and bison, whereas maximum biomass was attained when bison and moose were abundant but deer were absent. Wapiti remained at MVP during all solutions. Optimal solutions consistent with current ungulate densities were associated with 7 to 11% forage removal. This is less than normally assumed for sustainable forage use, and may reflect the need to account for other biotic and abiotic losses to forage in carrying capacity models for which ungulate densities can be constrained by availability of a preferred forage class (e.g., grass) as well as forage quality.
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